A Quick Review of Ryan Sieg
Ryan Sieg continued his impressive season with a second-place finish on Saturday despite spending most of the race mid-pack. At 14.93, 2024 has his best average since 2019 (14.61), fueled by an Xfinity series-best 78% success rate. That average finish is better than fellow race winners Riley Herbst (15.11), Smith (15.3), Justin Allgaier (15.44), Shane Van Gisbergen (16.11), and Sam Mayer (19.52). Of drivers with a sub-20 AFP, only Poole (26.24) and SvG (17.63) start from a worse position than Sieg's 16.63 average start.
This has always been there for Sieg. He's consistently been a positive driver by success rate. His positions finished above expected (PFAE) has hovered around neutral (this year it's a very good 3.434 on skill tracks — non-drafting ovals and road courses). When his cars have been decent, he's been able to find these 14-16th place AFPs. His stats on skill tracks:
| Season | Starts | Wins | Top 10s | ASP | AFP | Succ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.57 | 56.7 |
| 2018 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 19.53 | 19.70 | 53.3 |
| 2019 | 30 | 0 | 11 | 14.60 | 14.60 | 70.0 |
| 2020 | 29 | 0 | 9 | 10.03 | 15.48 | 48.3 |
| 2021 | 29 | 0 | 6 | 18.10 | 19.03 | 55.2 |
| 2022 | 27 | 0 | 9 | 18.33 | 18.33 | 63.0 |
| 2023 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 20.71 | 20.21 | 53.6 |
| 2024 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 15.19 | 14.43 | 81.0 |