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Stat Pack Recap: 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Coca-Cola 600

Ross Chastain won his first crown jewel race tonight at Charlotte.

Stat Pack Recap: 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Coca-Cola 600

Race: Results | Analytics | Loop Data | Lap-by-lap Download

Qualifying: Busch Pole Qualifying results and lap download

Practice: NCS Final Practice results and lap download

It's a testament to Byron's dominance in this race that he had a better PGAE (positions gained above expected) than the guy who went from last to first.

Mathematically, why did this happen? Look at the table below. PGAE is calculated: for every lap, look up the driver's position in the Running Position column, then credit them with the difference between their position on their next lap and the corresponding Avg. Position on Next Lap column. Thus, Byron accumulated 0.071 PGAE for every lap he held the lead. Meanwhile, any lap Chastain didn't gain position while running at the back, he lost PGAE.

I like that. Nobody cares if you move up from 35th to 25th, but we all applaud holding the lead. That's that math that PGAE is built on.

Running Position Avg. Position on Next Lap
11.071
22.051
33.036
44.016
55.009
66.003
76.981
87.970
98.959
109.955
1110.941
1211.941
1312.916
1413.925
1514.905
1615.902
1716.891
1817.893
1918.872
2019.871
2120.865
2221.861
2322.862
2423.869
2524.864
2625.856
2726.853
2827.858
2928.857
3029.868
3130.884
3231.892
3332.901
3433.904
3534.915
3635.920
3736.919
3837.904
3938.893
4039.901

DriverStartFinishARPPGAEGR-LRcPOMS
Ross Chastain40112.5751.351.5230.977
William Byron321.7453.601.6830.985
Chase Briscoe1313.5721.770.4900.976
AJ Allmendinger546.5233.690.9450.980
Brad Keselowski35519.4050.770.6170.972